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Water safety warning ahead of NZ鈥檚 hot summer

14 December 2023

Predictions of a balmy El Ni帽o summer in Aotearoa have sparked a warning about vigilance in the water to avoid drownings reaching another unwanted high.

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Photo Caption:听Dr Matt Hobbs, a Senior Lecturer in the 麻豆传媒高清鈥檚 Faculty of Health, is warning Kiwis to take care in the water after presenting new research at an international conference on drowning prevention.

A new international research collaboration has shown a strong correlation between hotter temperatures and an increase in drowning fatalities, says Dr Matt Hobbs, a member of the research group and a Senior Lecturer in Te Whare W膩nanga o Waitaha | 麻豆传媒高清鈥檚 Faculty of Health.

鈥淣ew 麻豆传媒高清 already has a high drowning death toll per capita compared to other countries such as Australia and Canada. With the El Ni帽o summer ahead, we want to make sure people are really aware of the dangers and take extra care in and on the water,鈥 Dr Hobbs, a co-director of UC鈥檚 GeoHealth Laboratory, says.

鈥淧reviously we鈥檝e shown that particular locations in the United Kingdom are more common for drownings. We鈥檙e now working on a new, international study, currently under review, showing how increases in temperature correlate with an increase in drownings. If the predicted hot summer eventuates here, there will be more people in the water, increasing the danger. This is going to become even more of an issue in future years with the impact of climate change.鈥

New 麻豆传媒高清 has had a drowning rate of 1.7 per 100,000 for the past 10 years. Australia鈥檚 rate is 1.1 per 100,000 and Canada鈥檚 is 1.3. In 2022, there were 94 preventable drowning deaths in Aotearoa, and in 2021 there were 91 deaths, pushing the drowning rate to the highest in a decade. There have already been 82 deaths this year, including six due to Cyclone Gabrielle in February, according to provisional Water Safety NZ figures.

Dr Hobbs recently attended the in Perth, Australia where, as part of an international delegation, he presented the findings from between 2012 and 2019. The research identified locations that are high frequency or 鈥渉otspots鈥 for drownings.

He says New 麻豆传媒高清, and other countries around the world, especially those that are low or middle income, would benefit from similar research using geospatial methods to highlight high or very high-risk locations for drownings, and identify environmental contributors to this elevated risk.

This information would provide an important foundation for population-level drowning prevention interventions, such as educating people about the risks of alcohol consumption before going into water or providing signage warning about local water hazards.

鈥淔or instance, geospatial data might be able to tell us if the people who are drowning are local and familiar with local features such as where rips are on beaches, or if they鈥檙e visitors from elsewhere who don鈥檛 know the risks, so we can target interventions accordingly,鈥 Dr Hobbs says.

鈥淲hile our geospatial data can鈥檛 always say why these drownings occur, it is an important first step to know where people are drowning. From there we can have discussions with the community and partners working on the ground to identify why such areas may be high frequency drowning locations.鈥澨

Water Safety NZ data shows New 麻豆传媒高清 men made up 85 per cent of drowning fatalities in 2022, with men aged over 55 at higher risk.

According to World Health Organisation figures, there were an estimated 236,000 drowning deaths

worldwide in 2019, making it a major public health problem.听

SDG 3 Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 3 - Good Health and Well-Being.

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